The last week of 2017, the domestic steel market prices to collapse, the construction of steel prices continue to lead the decline, some areas fell more than 300RMB. Lange experts said, in the seasonal decline in demand, high price level, inventory continuous growth in the case of New Year's Day after the opening, Steel city overall pressure remains large, domestic steel prices will continue to fall mainly.
Seasonal
demand has weakened as the weather has become colder and the market has
been deserted after a concentrated rush. and the current price level is
high, steel expensive deal with resistance, the market fear of high
psychological breeding, steel mills, traders not smooth sales, inventory
continued to grow, superimposed the end of the year's high level of
capital, business capital withdrawal will be strong, resulting in steel
prices began to appear continuously downward, especially the early rise
of the long material prices first, the fall nearly 400RMB.
From
the supply and demand relationship, the current terminal demand is
shrinking rapidly, due to the early rush, looting, demand in advance
concentrated release, resulting in late demand limbo, and winter market
is afraid of high psychology, the market face "lean". And with the full
implementation of the limit, even beyond the expectations, the blast
furnace operating rate has basically reduced to the limits, coupled with
the air quality has indeed improved, in previous years, "Haze Lock
Capital" of the weather in this year greatly reduced, the late limit of
the increase in the strength of the space has been small.
From
the inventory point of view, the domestic construction of steel stocks
have been in a row for two consecutive weeks, and direct hair type steel
construction steel inventory has been three consecutive weeks to
rebound. Although the national construction of steel stock is still 23%
lower than the same period last year, Beijing-Tianjin-Hangzhou and other
major cities inventory only about half of the same period last year, at
a low level of nearly 7 years. However, from now to mid-March the
traditional sales season, there are about 70 days of inventory growth
period, large agreement households, including direct-type steel mills
are expected to accumulate a large amount of inventory before the
arrival of their own inventory level to the minimum, so the willingness
to reduce shipments is still strong.
There is the problem of
price, although the recent emergence of a substantial decline, but the
vast majority of the finished steel prices in more than 4000 RMB, this
price than the 2017 annual average price is still high 300-500 RMB,
prices have continued to the downward space.